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Red54
531436.3
132321.6
347669.5
Blue72
35823.6
164736.5
212283.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981550502002505472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#15
69.52.8
53.851.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop70.2
End0.0
blue by 13.7
83.24.0
84.580.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop83.3
End0.0
Second
5314
#55
36.32.8
36.233.4
Auto1.2
Teleop35.2
End0.0
blue by 0.1
1647
#52
36.54.0
42.638.6
Auto1.7
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
1323
#76
21.62.8
20.217.4
Auto0.8
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 2.0
358
#61
23.64.0
24.320.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop24.1
End0.0