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Red123
5857.1
248191.5
542212.8
Blue146
552834.0
131118.3
213784.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14710450200123146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.51.1
82.181.0
Auto11.6
Teleop79.9
End0.0
red by 6.8
84.71.9
70.171.9
Auto0.4
Teleop84.3
End0.0
Second
58
#19
57.11.1
55.354.2
Auto0.0
Teleop57.1
End0.0
red by 23.1
5528
#60
34.02.3
27.129.4
Auto0.6
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
5422
#66
12.81.1
7.86.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 5.5
1311
#67
18.31.9
17.119.0
Auto0.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0