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Red170
571227.9
248191.5
562722.0
Blue218
318416.4
70646.3
212283.2
64%Model gave it36%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13312480100140160180200170218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.51.7
88.790.4
Auto11.6
Teleop79.9
End0.0
red by 8.3
83.24.4
80.584.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop83.3
End0.0
Second
5712
#68
27.91.7
27.729.4
Auto0.8
Teleop27.2
End0.0
blue by 18.4
706
#22
46.34.4
35.339.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
5627
#53
22.01.7
20.322.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 5.6
3184
#70
16.44.4
14.218.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0