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Red172
299217.1
213784.7
183638.2
Blue112
219132.3
35823.6
122530.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135580100150200250172112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.72.2
72.174.3
Auto0.4
Teleop84.3
End0.0
red by 52.4
2191
#54
32.32.0
25.327.3
Auto0.1
Teleop32.2
End0.0
Second
1836
#37
38.22.2
36.338.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
red by 7.8
1225
#63
30.42.0
27.229.2
Auto0.4
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
2992
#71
17.12.2
19.421.7
Auto0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 6.6
358
#61
23.62.0
20.322.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop24.1
End0.0