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Qual 212015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red62
57446.7
261444.9
382113.3
Blue18
446223.2
463017.3
349221.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4946203040607080906218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#4
44.90.6
36.2→36.8
Auto0.6
Teleop44.3
End0.0
red by 21.7
4462
#11
23.22.5
24.2→21.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Second
3821
#37
13.31.0
6.8→7.8
Auto0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 8.6
3492
#22
21.92.5
16.1→13.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
5744
#43
6.71.0
7.5→8.4
Auto0.4
Teleop6.3
End0.0
blue by 10.5
4630
#24
17.32.5
7.7→5.2
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0