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Red166
146636.7
384422.7
382468.7
Blue111
314040.8
322712.3
398424.0
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10130050150200166111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.74.0
48.552.5
Auto0.0
Teleop68.6
End0.0
red by 27.9
40.83.4
17.721.2
Auto0.2
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
36.73.6
26.730.3
Auto0.6
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 12.6
3984
#13
24.05.7
16.922.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
3844
#17
22.76.1
17.924.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 10.5
3227
#32
12.33.8
7.411.3
Auto0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0