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Red46
445214.8
474019.6
557125.8
Blue66
426528.2
450412.6
320126.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315601001502002504666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5571
#16
25.80.8
11.212.0
Auto0.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
blue by 2.4
4265
#10
28.20.7
17.418.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.5
End0.0
Second
4740
#15
19.60.8
10.211.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 6.6
3201
#21
26.30.6
24.224.8
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
4452
#29
14.80.5
14.815.3
Auto0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 2.2
4504
#36
12.61.0
12.113.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0