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Red70
45248.0
439613.3
320126.3
Blue175
542316.4
382468.7
239319.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317905010015020070175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#21
26.31.5
24.726.2
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 42.4
68.75.0
54.859.9
Auto0.0
Teleop68.6
End0.0
Second
4396
#30
13.32.5
9.211.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 5.6
2393
#14
19.05.0
12.917.9
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
4524
#42
8.02.5
6.28.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 8.4
5423
#23
16.48.4
6.715.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0