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Qual 472015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red76
474019.6
349221.9
27923.3
Blue128
569114.1
314040.8
426416.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4551010015020025076128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
#33
23.31.4
22.7→24.1
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 17.5
3140
#2
40.83.8
27.0→30.8
Auto0.2
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
3492
#22
21.92.4
13.1→15.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 5.9
4264
#27
16.06.4
11.3→17.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
4740
#15
19.62.4
11.6→13.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 5.5
5691
#31
14.16.4
13.2→19.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0