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Qual 492015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red34
496513.1
384422.7
36758.2
Blue45
239319.0
550815.1
39663.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392802060801001201403445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
#17
22.70.4
21.7→21.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 3.8
2393
#14
19.00.7
17.9→18.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
4965
#49
13.10.2
8.9→8.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 2.0
5508
#25
15.11.2
10.4→11.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
3675
#39
8.20.4
8.0→7.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0
red by 4.4
3966
#51
3.81.2
2.6→3.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.8
End0.0