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Qual 512015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red28
322712.3
439613.3
100225.1
Blue35
457616.4
382113.3
445214.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433702060802835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#19
25.10.5
19.5→19.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 8.7
4576
#28
16.40.2
16.3→16.1
Auto0.8
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
4396
#30
13.30.8
11.7→10.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 1.5
4452
#29
14.80.2
14.5→14.2
Auto0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
3227
#32
12.30.5
12.1→11.6
Auto0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 1.1
3821
#37
13.30.4
8.8→8.5
Auto0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0