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Qual 542015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red98
463017.3
44214.4
201022.0
Blue60
426416.0
32599.5
402515.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34330204060809860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#20
22.03.2
15.9→19.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 6.0
4264
#27
16.02.1
17.6→19.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Second
4630
#24
17.35.3
10.4→15.7
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 1.8
4025
#26
15.52.1
9.3→11.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
442
#40
14.45.3
8.2→13.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 4.8
3259
#48
9.52.1
8.3→10.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0