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Qual 562015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red88
474019.6
382113.3
45655.4
Blue99
146636.7
550815.1
533836.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727155606575808590958899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#3
55.40.7
52.0→52.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.6
End0.0
red by 18.7
1466
#8
36.71.3
32.1→33.3
Auto0.6
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
4740
#15
19.61.1
13.9→15.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 16.8
5338
#7
36.41.3
29.7→31.0
Auto0.3
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Third
3821
#37
13.31.1
8.5→9.6
Auto0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 1.7
5508
#25
15.12.1
11.6→13.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0