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Red13
569114.1
384311.7
39663.8
Blue87
450412.6
430611.1
261444.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27680501001501387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5691
#31
14.11.6
16.014.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 30.7
44.91.2
42.143.3
Auto0.6
Teleop44.3
End0.0
Second
3843
#45
11.71.6
14.613.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 0.9
4504
#36
12.61.7
10.011.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
3966
#51
3.81.6
4.22.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.8
End0.0
blue by 7.3
4306
#38
11.11.7
11.913.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0