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Qual 792015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red82
44214.4
322712.3
261444.9
Blue68
33199.8
533836.4
450412.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68490204060801001201401608268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#4
44.91.0
43.3→44.3
Auto0.6
Teleop44.3
End0.0
red by 8.5
5338
#7
36.40.7
32.9→33.7
Auto0.3
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
442
#40
14.41.4
13.0→14.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 1.8
4504
#36
12.61.0
11.6→12.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
3227
#32
12.31.0
11.2→12.3
Auto0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 2.5
3319
#41
9.81.0
8.8→9.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0