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Red30
349221.9
384311.7
439613.3
Blue35
398424.0
201022.0
38566.5
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5150204060801003035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3492
#22
21.91.4
22.621.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 2.1
3984
#13
24.01.3
24.423.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Second
4396
#30
13.31.4
14.713.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 8.7
2010
#20
22.01.0
22.021.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
3843
#45
11.71.4
13.111.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 5.3
3856
#47
6.51.3
7.76.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0