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Qual 92015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red23
518610.1
239319.0
27923.3
Blue36
131117.1
382113.3
201022.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42410102030506070802336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
#33
23.31.1
23.3→22.1
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 1.2
2010
#20
22.00.5
19.1→18.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
2393
#14
19.01.0
7.7→6.7
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 1.9
1311
#44
17.10.5
17.9→17.5
Auto0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
5186
#35
10.11.5
10.5→8.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 3.3
3821
#37
13.30.7
7.5→6.8
Auto0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0