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Semifinal pool 32015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red114
426528.2
278346.7
100225.1
Blue141
533836.4
395948.7
320126.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90105050150200250114141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#6
46.70.4
45.1→45.5
Auto1.8
Teleop44.9
End0.0
blue by 2.1
3959
#5
48.70.7
47.0→47.7
Auto0.3
Teleop48.4
End0.0
Second
4265
#10
28.20.4
26.7→27.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.5
End0.0
blue by 8.2
5338
#7
36.40.7
34.6→35.3
Auto0.3
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Third
1002
#19
25.10.4
23.6→24.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 1.2
3201
#21
26.30.7
24.5→25.2
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0