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Red26
300521.4
406316.2
41928.9
Blue16
331015.6
524210.4
28977.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335101001502002616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#13
21.40.9
9.18.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 5.8
3310
#37
15.62.8
20.117.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Second
4063
#29
16.20.9
15.714.8
Auto0.7
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 5.7
5242
#39
10.42.8
12.69.8
Auto0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
4192
#47
8.90.9
11.810.9
Auto0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0
red by 1.3
2897
#35
7.62.8
17.014.2
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0