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Qual 262015 Dallas Regional
Red20
406316.2
541115.8
70423.1
Blue8
505716.6
335023.1
34819.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38340206080100120140208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
704
#8
23.11.6
20.3→18.7
Auto0.9
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Level
3350
#6
23.12.3
13.2→10.9
Auto2.5
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
4063
#29
16.21.6
12.1→10.5
Auto0.7
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5057
#16
16.62.3
13.3→11.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
5411
#15
15.81.6
6.4→4.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 6.1
3481
#40
9.72.3
9.2→6.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.3
End0.0