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Qual 532015 Dallas Regional
Red4
261312.6
41928.9
6478.5
Blue42
295017.6
57756.0
62437.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22500406080100120140442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2613
#44
12.61.9
8.2→6.3
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 25.0
624
#11
37.60.4
27.7→27.3
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Second
4192
#47
8.91.9
6.1→4.2
Auto0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 8.7
2950
#18
17.60.4
19.0→18.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
647
#32
8.51.9
12.4→10.5
Auto1.2
Teleop7.3
End0.0
red by 2.5
5775
#46
6.00.4
0.3→-0.1
Auto-1.0
Teleop7.1
End0.0