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Red160
335023.1
98757.7
373530.1
Blue90
524210.4
11853.4
295017.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8457010015020016090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
57.76.0
49.955.9
Auto8.6
Teleop49.0
End0.0
red by 4.3
118
#3
53.42.1
34.836.9
Auto3.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
Second
30.16.0
17.123.1
Auto1.3
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 12.5
2950
#18
17.62.1
18.620.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
23.16.0
15.721.7
Auto2.5
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 12.7
5242
#39
10.42.1
9.711.8
Auto0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0