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Red0
284820.1
543122.2
300521.4
Blue0
40764.7
42069.1
464110.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39260608010012014016000

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#10
22.232.0
37.85.8
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 11.4
4641
#34
10.81.9
10.78.8
Auto0.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Second
3005
#13
21.42.7
11.89.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 12.3
4206
#45
9.11.9
10.58.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
Third
2848
#22
20.12.7
18.315.6
Auto3.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 15.4
4076
#48
4.71.9
7.55.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0