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Red28
28977.6
33558.1
5726.6
Blue61
147732.1
406316.2
93215.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3758020801001201401602861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57
#12
26.60.9
24.423.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop27.2
End0.0
blue by 5.6
32.10.3
32.032.3
Auto0.8
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
3355
#38
8.10.9
9.18.1
Auto1.5
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 8.0
4063
#29
16.20.3
12.813.1
Auto0.7
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
2897
#35
7.60.9
8.67.6
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 8.1
932
#23
15.70.3
12.212.4
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0