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Quarterfinal pool 52015 Lone Star Regional
Red152
23140.7
258745.3
399111.5
Blue100
355629.7
333525.4
147730.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9380204060120140160180152100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#6
45.31.0
44.2→45.2
Auto0.2
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 14.7
1477
#38
30.60.3
30.3→30.6
Auto0.0
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
231
#8
40.71.0
39.6→40.6
Auto0.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 10.9
3556
#11
29.70.3
29.5→29.7
Auto0.4
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Third
3991
#45
11.51.0
10.5→11.4
Auto0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 13.9
3335
#9
25.40.3
25.1→25.4
Auto0.2
Teleop25.2
End0.0