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Red52
399922.8
541411.2
550313.4
Blue74
373540.5
333525.4
258511.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31690501001502005274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3999
#32
22.80.7
20.821.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 17.6
40.50.7
37.338.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
5503
#25
13.41.2
10.311.5
Auto0.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 12.0
25.40.7
16.917.6
Auto0.2
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Third
5414
#51
11.21.2
6.77.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 0.1
2585
#40
11.31.2
11.112.3
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0