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Red175
288130.2
361238.6
70172.6
Blue107
45725.7
310331.6
432818.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12538050100150200250175107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#2
72.63.0
60.563.5
Auto0.8
Teleop71.7
End0.0
red by 41.0
3103
#17
31.62.7
23.626.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Second
3612
#10
38.63.0
36.239.2
Auto1.0
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 12.9
457
#19
25.72.7
21.123.8
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
30.23.0
19.222.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
red by 11.5
4328
#34
18.74.5
8.513.0
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0