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Red96
355629.7
23140.7
463917.7
Blue31
42958.9
432818.7
399922.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85380501001502009631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#8
40.71.1
35.436.5
Auto0.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 17.8
3999
#32
22.80.8
23.522.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
3556
#11
29.71.1
29.330.4
Auto0.4
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 11.1
4328
#34
18.71.3
13.011.7
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
4639
#14
17.71.1
15.616.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 8.8
4295
#39
8.91.3
10.28.9
Auto0.3
Teleop8.5
End0.0