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Red24
432818.7
164211.2
47215.3
Blue22
556612.6
383418.6
374117.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23330501001502002503003502422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4328
#34
18.70.1
13.613.5
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 0.1
3834
#44
18.60.9
12.111.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
1642
#21
11.20.1
4.84.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 5.8
3741
#36
17.10.9
11.610.8
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
4721
#52
5.30.1
6.86.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.4
End0.0
blue by 7.3
5566
#47
12.64.9
12.67.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0