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Red69
399111.5
296615.7
147730.6
Blue48
473115.5
361238.6
164211.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455901001502002503006948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#38
30.61.3
27.929.1
Auto0.0
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 8.0
3612
#10
38.60.5
39.238.6
Auto1.0
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Second
2966
#33
15.72.2
10.913.1
Auto0.8
Teleop14.9
End0.0
red by 0.2
4731
#43
15.50.5
9.69.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
3991
#45
11.51.3
10.311.6
Auto0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 0.3
1642
#21
11.20.5
10.09.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.7
End0.0