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Qual 592015 Lone Star Regional
Red44
399922.8
461013.2
399725.7
Blue86
258231.5
281711.8
541534.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58572040801004486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3997
#18
25.70.7
21.3→20.6
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 8.3
5415
#15
34.01.3
29.8→31.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
Second
3999
#32
22.80.7
22.7→22.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 8.7
2582
#16
31.52.1
23.9→26.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Third
4610
#41
13.20.7
13.8→13.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 1.4
2817
#37
11.81.3
7.1→8.4
Auto0.2
Teleop11.6
End0.0