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Qual 712015 Lone Star Regional
Red69
473115.5
541618.1
463917.7
Blue60
461013.2
372811.1
125525.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44392060806960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5416
#29
18.11.5
16.3→17.9
Auto0.6
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 7.7
1255
#12
25.81.0
23.9→24.8
Auto1.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
4639
#14
17.71.5
15.2→16.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 4.5
4610
#41
13.21.0
13.1→14.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
4731
#43
15.51.5
12.8→14.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 4.4
3728
#53
11.11.5
3.9→5.4
Auto-1.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0