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Red95
373540.5
233323.5
42958.9
Blue92
310331.6
473115.5
125525.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68664060801001209592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.51.3
39.240.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 8.9
3103
#17
31.61.1
30.531.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Second
2333
#49
23.51.3
22.323.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
blue by 2.2
1255
#12
25.81.1
24.826.0
Auto1.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
4295
#39
8.91.8
8.09.9
Auto0.3
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 6.6
4731
#43
15.51.1
14.415.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0