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Red84
361238.6
407614.5
415519.5
Blue54
372811.1
526124.3
399922.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724602060801001201401608454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3612
#10
38.60.7
37.938.6
Auto1.0
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 14.2
5261
#20
24.30.6
23.724.3
Auto1.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
4155
#22
19.51.0
18.519.5
Auto0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 3.4
3999
#32
22.80.4
22.422.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
4076
#23
14.50.7
13.814.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 3.4
3728
#53
11.10.6
5.46.0
Auto-1.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0