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Semifinal pool 12015 Lone Star Regional
Red196
458743.3
70172.6
5735.9
Blue103
258231.5
288130.2
399725.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14867050100200250300196103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#2
72.60.9
68.9→69.8
Auto0.8
Teleop71.7
End0.0
red by 41.0
2582
#16
31.50.5
29.6→30.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Second
4587
#4
43.30.9
39.7→40.6
Auto0.2
Teleop43.2
End0.0
red by 13.1
2881
#7
30.20.3
28.8→29.1
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Third
57
#24
35.90.9
32.3→33.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop36.4
End0.0
red by 10.2
3997
#18
25.70.3
24.3→24.6
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0