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Red154
331046.6
246860.5
479914.5
Blue89
284828.4
181740.1
577123.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1208005010015020025015489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.6
59.259.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop60.6
End0.0
red by 20.3
40.10.0
39.239.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.4
End0.0
Second
46.60.6
45.446.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 18.2
2848
#15
28.40.0
27.527.5
Auto1.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Third
4799
#36
14.50.6
13.213.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 8.6
5771
#26
23.10.0
22.222.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0