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Red52
41838.0
541715.5
457014.3
Blue56
430027.4
284828.4
362625.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465401001502002503005256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#5
38.00.1
26.726.8
Auto0.7
Teleop37.3
End0.0
red by 9.6
2848
#15
28.40.1
19.319.4
Auto1.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
5417
#31
15.50.1
14.915.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 11.9
4300
#17
27.40.1
24.524.5
Auto1.0
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Third
4570
#37
14.30.2
7.77.9
Auto0.4
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 11.4
3626
#12
25.80.1
11.011.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.1
End0.0