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Red36
216430.6
64714.2
366613.6
Blue66
469417.4
331046.6
265721.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536101002003004005003666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2164
#11
30.61.0
24.323.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
blue by 16.0
46.60.2
35.535.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
647
#29
14.21.0
14.113.1
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 7.2
2657
#21
21.40.3
11.612.0
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
3666
#32
13.61.7
17.816.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 3.8
4694
#30
17.40.3
15.015.3
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0