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Red98
415323.2
578011.3
300533.2
Blue125
341719.6
430027.4
430124.2
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4455010015020025030035098125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#10
33.22.5
22.625.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 5.8
4300
#17
27.43.5
29.232.7
Auto1.0
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Second
4153
#14
23.22.5
18.521.0
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4301
#13
24.25.4
15.120.5
Auto1.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
5780
#40
11.33.9
6.710.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 8.3
3417
#19
19.65.4
11.316.7
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0