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Red89
362625.8
373529.9
436423.4
Blue132
354518.7
241039.8
440340.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668905015020025030089132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#23
29.90.9
26.527.4
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 10.8
40.72.8
35.438.2
Auto0.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
3626
#12
25.81.2
24.025.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 14.0
39.82.8
38.140.8
Auto0.5
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
4364
#25
23.40.9
21.222.1
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 4.6
3545
#27
18.74.0
15.319.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0