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Red119
284828.4
348134.5
469417.4
Blue142
331046.6
485225.7
174511.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6867406080100120140119142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.52.5
28.430.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop35.1
End0.0
blue by 12.1
46.63.6
39.142.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
2848
#15
28.42.5
23.225.8
Auto1.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 2.7
4852
#18
25.75.1
21.226.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
4694
#30
17.43.6
17.220.8
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 6.3
1745
#39
11.15.1
10.515.6
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0