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Red140
215834.6
406332.9
331046.6
Blue105
341719.6
47987.7
246860.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10870050150200250140105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.61.7
45.447.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 13.8
60.51.9
54.856.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop60.6
End0.0
Second
34.61.7
31.733.4
Auto0.0
Teleop34.6
End0.0
red by 14.9
3417
#19
19.62.4
18.420.7
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
32.91.7
29.030.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 25.2
4798
#44
7.72.4
5.37.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0