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Red58
485225.7
541715.5
241039.8
Blue28
336610.6
457014.3
284828.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions924801502005828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.5
41.640.1
Auto0.5
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 11.3
2848
#15
28.40.8
26.625.7
Auto1.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
4852
#18
25.71.9
28.927.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 11.4
4570
#37
14.31.0
16.515.5
Auto0.4
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
5417
#31
15.51.5
18.016.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 5.0
3366
#41
10.60.8
13.612.7
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0