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Red53
373529.9
561320.8
47987.7
Blue7
485225.7
366613.6
362625.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54750100150200250300537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#23
29.90.0
30.730.7
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 4.2
3626
#12
25.83.8
30.326.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
5613
#20
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 4.9
4852
#18
25.73.8
27.023.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
4798
#44
7.70.0
7.77.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 5.9
3666
#32
13.63.8
17.313.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0