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Red11
457014.3
47349.1
578011.3
Blue14
532013.7
64714.2
48429.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393802060801114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4570
#37
14.31.2
15.514.3
Auto0.4
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 0.2
647
#29
14.21.4
15.614.2
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Second
5780
#40
11.31.2
12.511.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5320
#34
13.71.6
15.213.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
4734
#43
9.11.1
10.29.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4842
#35
9.81.4
11.29.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.0
End0.0