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Red38
415323.2
284828.4
265721.4
Blue31
440340.7
336610.6
436423.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668001001502002503003503831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#15
28.41.6
25.724.1
Auto1.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
blue by 12.2
40.72.2
42.640.4
Auto0.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
4153
#14
23.21.6
24.222.5
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4364
#25
23.42.2
25.523.3
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
2657
#21
21.41.8
21.119.2
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 10.8
3366
#41
10.62.2
12.710.6
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0