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Red32
1296B28.4
65878.5
27237.4
Blue28
420613.3
436419.2
407614.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454302060801003228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296B
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 9.2
4364
Unranked
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
6587
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 6.0
4076
Unranked
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
2723
Unranked
7.40.0
7.47.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 5.8
4206
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0