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Red37
420613.3
288130.2
541715.5
Blue56
505716.6
276516.0
1296B28.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59572040801001203756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
Unranked
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
red by 1.9
1296B
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
5417
Unranked
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 1.1
5057
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
4206
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 2.7
2765
Unranked
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0