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Red27
65878.5
505716.6
546915.3
Blue124
129656.7
436419.2
276516.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2810005015020027124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5057
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 40.1
1296
Unranked
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
5469
Unranked
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto0.6
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 3.9
4364
Unranked
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
6587
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 7.5
2765
Unranked
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0