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Red83
288130.2
276516.0
65878.5
Blue78
70423.1
505716.6
384727.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506801001502002508378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
Unranked
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
red by 2.5
3847
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
2765
Unranked
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 7.1
704
Unranked
23.10.0
23.123.1
Auto0.9
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
6587
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 8.1
5057
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0